Which pricing rules apply to your company
The federal small-employer definition generally covers 1–50 employees, and states can extend it to 100. California, New York and Vermont use the expanded market. Colorado changed to 1–50 for 2026, with transition provisions for some existing 51–100 groups. Market-size counting and timing are not interchangeable with the ACA employer-mandate test; confirm both separately.
| Arrangement | Who it's for | What sets your price |
|---|---|---|
| ACA small group (fully insured) | Generally 1–50; some states extend to 100; Colorado transition rules apply | Carrier's pooled base rate, adjusted only for age, tobacco, area and who is covered. Your claims don't count. |
| Large group (fully insured) | 51+ (or 101+) employees | May blend group claims with manual rates and other permitted factors; method varies |
| Level-funded | Small and midsize groups; minimums vary by carrier | Medical underwriting: health questionnaires or prior claims, plus your census. |
| PEO master plan | Companies that join the PEO | Depends on the offered plan, market rules and PEO contract; do not assume every PEO uses one method |
| ICHRA | Any size | Individual market rates for each employee, which use the same ACA age, tobacco and area rules. |
The four ACA rating factors
- Age: premiums can rise with age, up to three times as much for a 64-year-old as for a 21-year-old.
- Tobacco: federal maximum 1.5:1, with stricter state limits possible and wellness-program requirements in small-group coverage.
- Location: carriers set rates by geographic rating area, usually groups of counties or ZIP codes.
- Family coverage: federal per-member rating generally sums covered members, subject to the child cap; community-rated states can use approved family tiers.
Health status, claims history, gender, industry and group size can't be used in the small group market. Some states go further: New York and Vermont require pure community rating with no age adjustment, and use fixed family tiers instead (in New York, two adults with children pay 2.85 times the single rate).
| Age | Factor | Age | Factor |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–14 | 0.765 | 40 | 1.278 |
| 18 | 0.913 | 45 | 1.444 |
| 21–24 | 1.000 | 50 | 1.786 |
| 25 | 1.004 | 55 | 2.230 |
| 30 | 1.135 | 60 | 2.714 |
| 35 | 1.222 | 64 and older | 3.000 |
At age 40 the default factor is 1.278, about 28% above age 21; at 55 it is 2.230. The effect of an older hire depends on whom the hire adds to or replaces in the census, not a universal rule about the number of younger employees. States can use different permitted curves. Confirm the applicable state method rather than treating this federal table as a quote.
| Tobacco ratio | States |
|---|---|
| No tobacco surcharge (1:1) | California, District of Columbia, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Rhode Island, Vermont; Connecticut small group |
| 1.15:1 | Colorado |
| 1.2:1 | Arkansas; North Carolina small group |
| 1.4:1 | Kentucky |
| Up to 1.5:1 | Most other states |
How the base rate is set
An ACA small-group issuer develops its index rate using the expected claims costs of its state small-group risk pool. Permitted adjustments then produce product and member rates. A simplified explanation groups the cost inputs as follows; this is not a substitute for the insurer's actual rate filing:
- Medical trend: projected changes in prices and utilization. PwC's 2027 report projects 9.0% group trend for 2027 and restates 2026 group trend to 9.0%, up from its earlier 8.5% estimate. These forecasts are not guaranteed policy renewals.
- Administration: claims processing, customer service, technology.
- Distribution: broker commissions and general agency fees.
- Taxes and fees: state premium taxes and federal fees.
- Profit or contingency margin.
Product benefits, network and permitted geographic/member factors affect the final premium. Small-group rates can change with the effective quarter, subject to applicable rules. Request the exact filing and effective date from the insurer or state regulator. A public filing's average increase is not necessarily the percentage for your product or census.
Federal MLR standards generally use an 80% minimum in individual/small-group markets and 85% in large group, with statutory adjustments and multi-year averaging. The calculation is at insurer/state/market level, not a claim-spending target for each employer. Applicable rebates do not establish that your group's unused premium is refundable, and 20% is not simply a profit allowance.
Worked example: pricing an 8-person team
Replacing the age-55 factor of 2.230 with the age-28 factor of 1.087 reduces this fictional monthly total by $491.49 at a $430 unit rate. That is a census change, not a health-status discount. A different rating area could also change the unit rate, but its direction must come from the actual filing.
How large groups are priced on their own claims
Large-group insurers may consider experience rating: adjusting available claims for expected changes and blending them with broader pricing assumptions. The weight assigned to group experience, treatment of large claims and other permitted factors vary by insurer, group and jurisdiction. Request an explanation instead of assuming every large group receives the same formula.
Past claims do not settle next year's price. The insurer's expected future costs, pooling assumptions and contract terms matter. An employer can request an explanation and alternative quotes without asking coworkers for medical details or assuming that a diagnosis explains a particular percentage increase.
What's different for PEOs and level-funded plans
- PEO proposals: identify the actual policy, pricing basis, included services and renewal terms. If an introductory discount exists, ask for its expiration in writing. Do not infer the cause of a renewal from the PEO label.
- Level-funded proposals: medical underwriting and stop-loss terms can affect availability and price. Check claims obligations, exclusions, surplus conditions and termination exposure. Scheduled payments do not by themselves describe maximum employer liability.
- ICHRA: individual premiums follow applicable individual-market rating rules; the employer sets a compliant reimbursement offer. Compare actual local products and tax-credit effects instead of applying a national rate-change headline to every employee.
Different arrangements allocate obligations differently. I would compare current cost, renewal uncertainty, covered services and employee access using the same census. A low first-year figure is not proof of durable savings, and a general statement about a healthy workforce cannot replace the actual underwriting and contract review.
What you can actually change
- Send a clean census Submit accurate dates of birth, locations and proposed enrollment through a secure process. Supply only information required for that product and pricing method. Reconcile quote assumptions with final enrollment before accepting the bill.
- Price more than one plan design Request several available benefit designs, ideally on the same network. Compare employee cost sharing and employer annual expense as well as the premium difference.
- Check the network factor Ask for comparable network options and verify important providers and remote locations. A network label does not establish either price or access.
- Pick the start date on purpose Because small group rates can change quarterly, quote the plan for the start date you'll actually use.
- Compare across markets Get at least one quote from a different kind of arrangement: ACA small group, level-funded or another option. They price on different inputs, so the gap can be large.
For what renewals look like in practice, see why did our health insurance renewal go up. For current averages, see average employee health insurance cost.
How we price
Prescience sets one monthly cost in the quote before the plan starts. Compare that written cost and the proposed benefits with the alternatives; it does not establish a future multi-year renewal guarantee.
At Prescience, we design and run your company's health plan, from setup and enrollment to claims, compliance and COBRA. What your team gets:
- An effective $0 deductible, so the plan helps from the first visit.
- Simple copays shown before a visit, capped by a low out-of-pocket maximum.
- A broad national PPO network, plus providers we contract with directly.
- 24/7 physician-led care navigation: a care team that finds the right provider, books appointments and explains costs up front.
What your company gets: one monthly cost set in your quote, usually 10–20% below comparable fully insured coverage and fixed before the plan starts, with no admin fees. You keep your payroll provider, and the plan can start mid-year.
Price the people on your own employee list
Age, home ZIP and family mix can change the total. Use your actual census for a proposal, and keep the pricing rules for each funding arrangement separate when comparing results.


